Media Mentions

Canadians should brace for recession because odds are ‘not zero,’ says Poloz – National Post

Sep 23, 2024 1 MIN READ
People Mentioned
Stephen Poloz O.C.

Special Advisor, Ottawa

With Canada’s unemployment rate having risen from 6.4% in June to 6.6% in August, it is a further indication of recession conditions in many parts of the Canadian economy, Osler Special Advisor Stephen Poloz said during a recent webinar reported on by the National Post.

“These are close to around two percentage points above the low point,” says Stephen. “That’s a very decisive recession signal in most situations.”

He noted the population is growing at 3.5%, but the economy is growing around 1%. This is also an indication that spending per household is shrinking significantly, something that only happens during a recession.

“So that just means, if we didn’t have the population growth, it would be growing as a minus 2%,” says Stephen. “Well, that is a recession.”

Read the full article by author Jordan Gowling published by the National Post on September 14, 2024.

People Mentioned
Stephen Poloz O.C.

Special Advisor, Ottawa